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2024-12-13 03:45:58

The central bank increased its holdings of gold and released a positive signal. Shanghai Gold ETF received a net purchase of funds for eight consecutive months. According to the data, as of the end of November, 14 commodity gold ETFs listed and traded in A shares all received a net purchase of funds during the year. From April to November, two ETFs received net capital inflows for 8 months, and Shanghai Gold ETF(518600) was the one with the largest net purchase, with an interval net inflow of 370 million yuan, which attracted considerable attention. (China Securities Network)The French CAC40 index rose by 1.00% in the day.Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.


Yiwu, Zhejiang Province paid a premium of 55%, and the unit price of a residential land was 10,286 yuan. Yiwu, which is under the jurisdiction of Jinhua City, Zhejiang Province, sold a residential land on December 9. The plot is located in the southeast of the intersection of Futian Road and Datong Road, Futian Street, Yiwu City. The land use is urban residential land, commercial and financial land and commercial land. The construction land area is 24,009.03 square meters, the planned construction area is 55,220.77 square meters, and the floor area ratio is 2.3. The starting price is about 366 million yuan, and the starting floor price is 6,628 yuan/square meter. After 161 rounds of bidding, the plot was finally won by Yiwu Xinsheng Real Estate Development Co., Ltd., a local private enterprise in Jinhua, Zhejiang New Era Real Estate Group Co., Ltd., with a total price of 568 million yuan, with a floor price of 10,286 yuan/square meter and a premium rate of 55.19%.VIVENDI shareholders approve the company split plan.Insiders: It is expected that the second car of Xiaomi, YU7, will mark Tesla Model Y,12 On December 9, the second car of Xiaomi Automobile officially landed in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. According to the information of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the second model of Xiaomi Automobile is a pure electric SUV, and the trailer label shows that this model is named "YU7". The new car is 4999mm long, 1996mm wide and 1600mm high, with a wheelbase of 3000mm and a top speed of 253 km/h. Previously, the appearance and interior spy photos of Xiaomi YU7 have been exposed. In appearance, the new car continues many family design elements of Xiaomi SU7 in design, but the semi-hidden door handle has become a hidden door handle. In addition, because the new car body looks similar to Ferrari Purosangue, it has also been dubbed "Farami" by netizens. According to the analysis of insiders, Xiaomi SU7 is against Tesla Model 3, and it is expected that Xiaomi's second car YU7 will be against Tesla Model Y.. (CBN)


The stock private placement position hit a new high since October, and the subjective private placement of 10 billion yuan significantly outperformed the quantification. The stock private placement position hit a new high in October, and more than half of the private placements were in Man Cang. According to the data of the third-party organization's private placement network, since September 30, the stock private placement position index has been on the rise as a whole. As of November 29 (due to information disclosure compliance and other reasons, the net value of private placement and position calculation data are relatively lagging behind), the stock private placement position index value is 73.61%, which is a new high since September 30. Among them, the index value of 10 billion private placements is 77.78%, which is 4.17% higher than the position value of 73.61% of stock private placements. At the same time, private equity in Man Cang accounts for more than half. According to the data of private placement network, as of November 29, 52.13% of the stock private placement positions were at the level of Man Cang; 26.87% of the stock private placement positions are at a medium level.In 2025, the profits of the "Big Seven US Stocks" are expected to increase by only 18%. Investors are looking for new targets. It is predicted that the combined profits of the seven technology giants, namely Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, NVIDIA and Tesla, will increase by only 18% in 2025, far lower than the 34% in 2024. Excluding NVIDIA, the biggest beneficiary of AI fanaticism, the combined profits of the other six companies will only increase by 3% in 2025. To this end, investors have begun to look for new investment targets, such as energy and biotechnology units. An 18% profit increase is a good performance for almost all industries, except for these large technology companies. At the same time, the profit increase of the Standard & Poor's 500 Index is expected to reach 13%, higher than this year's 10%. In other words, these technology giants will no longer be the growth benchmarks of American companies. Julian McManus, portfolio manager of investment company Janus Henderson, said: "The Big Seven may not be the engine of market growth as it was in the past year." To this end, investors have responded. According to EPFR Global data, in the week ending December 4th, the IT sector suffered the largest capital outflow in six weeks, reaching $1.4 billion, while small-cap stocks attracted $4.6 billion in capital inflow. (Global Market Broadcast)More than 80,000 people will be evacuated in the Philippines due to the eruption of Mount Canraon, and more than half of the residents are in "dangerous" areas. According to the news of the Philippine Civil Defence Bureau on December 9, due to the eruption of Mount Canraon, the Philippines needs to evacuate about 87,000 residents near the volcano urgently. Among them, the situation in Terrana, lacasse is particularly serious, where about 46,900 people live in the dangerous area of 4-6 kilometers of the Calaon volcano.

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